2024 Monaco Grand Prix odds, picks and predictions (2024)

The Formula 1 heads to Circuit de Monaco for the 2024 Monaco Grand Prix Sunday. The green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 9 a.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’slines around the 2024 Monaco Grand Prix odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

2024 Monaco Grand Prix: What you need to know

• Red Bull Racing’s Max Verstappen has won 2 of the past 3 races at Circuit de Monaco
• Verstappen leads the 2024 Driver Standings with 161 points, 48 points clear of Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc
• Leclerc is on the pole for Sunday’s race, snapping a record 8 consecutive pole positions for Verstappen
• Verstappen clipped the wall in qualifying, and he’ll go off 6th on Sunday from the 3rd row
• McLaren’s Oscar Piastri was 0.154 seconds behind Leclerc, and he’ll start 2nd
• Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz was 0.248 off the pace, and he goes off 3rd from the 2nd row
• Lando Norris, the winner of the Miami Grand Prix, will go off from the 4th position in Sunday’s race
• Mercedes’ George Russell rounds out the top 5 as he’ll start from the 3rd row in the grid
• 3-time Monaco GP champ Lewis Hamilton (2008, 2016, 2019) will start from the 7th spot Sunday

2024 Monaco Grand Prix – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:36 a.m. ET.

Leclerc (-225) is on the pole, leading the F1 paddock Sunday. The 26-year-old Monegasque driver looks to be the 1st winner from his country since Louis Chiron drove his Bugatti to the checkered flag back in 1931 in the 3rd-ever Monaco GP.

Leclerc appeared to be on his way to a win last season at his home track, but he was unable to secure the victory yet again.

Leclerc had his hopes crushed in 2019 by a poor team strategy when he was in the hunt for a win. In 2021, he was on the pole but had a crash in the final lap of qualifying and was unable to start. In 2022, Ferrari’s strategy error caused him to go from 1st to 4th. Last season, an impending penalty during qualifying was his demise.

Leclerc appears to have caught a break with Verstappen clapping the wall during qualifying for this year’s race, as he goes off from the front of the grid. But risking 2.25 times your potential return on Leclerc is quite risky, especially with the way things have continually fallen apart for him in the past.

Some strange things have happened to Leclerc this weekend, though, including an advertising banner hitting the front wing of his car in Q1 to slow his time.

PASS, and look to some drivers with a little longer odds instead.

2024 Monaco Grand Prix – Long shots

MAX VERSTAPPEN (+800) has won 2 of the past 3 races. It’s unbelievable that you can get this price on the F1 standings leader, but it’s because he goes off 6th in the grid after the qualifying miscue.

Still, the best value on the board is taking the current F1 leader.

If you’re not sold on Verstappen, take a look at McLaren’s OSCAR PIASTRI (+450), who was nipping at the heels of Leclerc on the pole lap. He has reportedly struggled on Turns 5 and 10, so bettors will want to watch those turns rather closely on race day.

Sunday 3-race parlay

VERSTAPPEN to win Monaco GP (+800), WILL POWER to win Indy 500 (+725), and TYLER REDDICK to win Coca-Cola 600 (+1000) pays 815.75 to 1 at BetMGM Sportsbook. It’s a long-shot, sure, but that’s what makes it fun. A simple $2 bet would profit $1,623.50. That’s worth a roll of the dice.

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